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March 30, 2007 Vol. 77, no. 10S

MALARIA-FREE FUTURE? From left, back row, Tahir Akbar, Mayuri Panditrao and Prasanth Jeevan during their research trip to India last summer. PHOTO PROVIDED BY PRASANTH JEEVAN

Engineer helps study system for predicting malaria outbreaks in India

Malaria has long plagued India. According to the World Health Organization, an estimated one to two million cases of malaria are confirmed every year. Even worse, 95 percent of the population lives in at-risk areas. The government faces an overwhelming challenge of protecting its population using limited resources.

When an outbreak occurs, it might take weeks for officials to distribute mosquito nets, antimalarial drugs or spray insecticides. But what if a software tool could predict outbreaks before they occur or at least pinpoint high-risk areas? Then the government could assign its resources most efficiently, implement preventive measures and save lives.

Three Berkeley graduate students have been studying just that. One of them is EECS graduate student Prasanth Jeevan. He got involved in the project, entitled “GIS to Predict Malaria Outbreaks,” after meeting Public Policy graduate student Tahir Akbar at a grad mixer in the fall of 2005. “Berkeley has this reputation for going to developing countries and doing innovative things to help others, and here this opportunity fell into my lap,” Jeevan says. “I’d be stupid not to take it. I feel this is a large part of what Berkeley is about.”

Jeevan, who is from southern India, joined Akbar and Public Health graduate student Mayuri Panditrao in applying for a MOT-UNIDO Bridging the Divide Fellowship, which sponsors interdisciplinary graduate student research in developing countries. The team wanted to study the feasibility of using a geographic information system (GIS) to predict outbreaks. GIS is a software tool that analyzes georeferenced data such as altitude and temperature, as well as public health data, to identify correlations between environmental factors and disease patterns in order to predict trends.

After receiving a 2006 fellowship, the team traveled to northern India last May to interview malaria experts, software makers, public health and government officials. After six hot weeks in the field, they came home to write their recommendations: Yes, GIS is feasible, but with caveats. Better infrastructures must be in place to provide the digital data to make GIS the truly fast and accurate tool it needs to be, and a pilot test must be conducted. But this summer, attendees at the Berkeley-UNIDO Bridging the Divide Conference will learn of the team’s hopeful findings in a final report.

“I couldn’t approach this project in the typical hard-core engineering style,” Jeevan says, looking back. “The fact is, it wasn’t a pure EECS/ engineering problem, and in some ways, the technology was already out there. What is successful in the United States has its own challenges in a developing country. You have to make it work in a unique political, social and economic environment, and you have to figure out who can help you with that. And that’s where Mayuri and Tahir came in as well as the people we worked with in India. It wasn’t a one-man show at all.”

For more information, go to bigideas.berkeley.edu/node/48.


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